Indian shares set for cautious start; MSCI rejig, HDFC Bank in focus
Indian shares were set for a muted open on Monday, with investors bracing for potential volatility from MSCI’s index rejig under the new closing auction system, while an escalation in the Iran war and HDFC Bank’s CEO resignation could also weigh on sentiment. GIFT Nifty futures were at 24,222.5 points, as of 8:11 a.m. IST, indicating a muted start for the Nifty 50. The benchmark index closed at 24,175.65 on Friday and posted its third straight weekly decline. MSCI’s quarterly index changes will be implemented at Monday’s close and take effect on September 1. As part of its August review, the index provider added four Indian stocks to its widely tracked Global Standard index and removed three. This would be the first MSCI rebalancing under India’s new closing auction system, which has led to sharp swings in benchmark indexes, especially on monthly derivatives expiry days. “With these (passive fund) flows executed around the closing auction, the final half-hour could see outsized moves in affected stocks and the broader index, potentially making the closing print less representative of underlying market sentiment,” said Hariselvan Radhakrishnan, founder and CEO of HST Weal